Umhlaba kulindeleke ukuba wongeze i-142 GW yePV yelanga ngo-2022

Ngokutsho kwe-IHS Markit yamva nje ye-2022 ye-global photovoltaic (PV) yoqikelelo lwemfuno yengqikelelo, ufakelo lwelanga lwehlabathi luza kuqhubeka namava okukhula okuphindwe kabini kwishumi leminyaka ezayo.Ufakelo olutsha lwePV lwelanga lwehlabathi luya kufikelela kwi-142 GW ngo-2022, inyuke nge-14% ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo.

I-142 GW elindelekileyo iphinda-phindwe kasixhenxe umthamo opheleleyo ofakwe ekuqaleni kweminyaka elishumi edlulileyo.Ngokumalunga nejografi, ukukhula nako kuyancomeka kakhulu.Kwi-2012, amazwe asixhenxe ayengaphezu kwe-1 GW yomthamo ofakiweyo, uninzi lwawo luvalelwe eYurophu.I-IHS Markit ilindele ukuba ekupheleni kwe-2022, amazwe angaphezu kwama-43 aya kuhlangabezana nalo mgangatho.

Olunye ukukhula okuphindwe kabini kwimfuno yehlabathi ngo-2022 bubungqina bokuqhubeka nokukhula okubonakalayo kufakelo lwelanga lwePV kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo.Ukuba i-2010s ibilishumi leminyaka yokuyila kwetekhnoloji, ukuncitshiswa kweendleko okumangalisayo, inkxaso-mali enkulu kunye nolawulo lwentengiso olumbalwa, u-2020 iya kuba lixesha elivelayo lelanga elingabonelelwanga, kunye nemfuno yofakelo lwelanga yehlabathi eyohlukeneyo kunye nokwanda, abangeneli abatsha kunye neshumi leminyaka elikhulayo. "

Iimarike ezinkulu ezifana neTshayina ziya kuqhubeka ziphendula ngesabelo esikhulu sofakelo olutsha kwikamva elibonakalayo.Nangona kunjalo, ukuthembela kakhulu kwimakethi yaseTshayina yokukhula kofakelo lwelanga kwihlabathi kuya kuqhubeka nokuncipha kwiminyaka ezayo njengoko amandla esongezwa kwenye indawo.Ufakelo kwimarike yehlabathi ehamba phambili (ngaphandle kweTshayina) ikhule nge-53% ngo-2020 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokukhula okuphindwe kabini ukuya kutsho ngo-2022. Lilonke, isabelo semarike sisonke seemarike ezilishumi eziphezulu zesola kulindeleke ukuba zehle ukuya kuma-73%.

I-China iya kuqhubeka nokugcina isikhundla sayo esiphambili njengenkokeli iyonke kufakelo lwelanga.Kodwa eli shumi leminyaka liza kubona iimarike ezintsha zivela eMzantsi-mpuma Asia, eLatin America nakuMbindi Mpuma.Nangona kunjalo, iimarike eziphambili ziya kuqhubeka zibaluleke kakhulu ekukhuleni koshishino lwelanga, ngokukodwa ngokubhekiselele kwi-teknoloji entsha, ukuphuhliswa komgaqo-nkqubo kunye neendlela ezintsha zoshishino.

Amagqabantshintshi engingqi avela kuqikelelo lwemfuno yePV yehlabathi ka-2022:

I-China: Imfuno yelanga kwi-2022 iya kuba ngaphantsi kwencopho yofakelo lwembali ye-50 GW ngo-2017. Imfuno kwimarike yaseTshayina kwinqanaba lenguqu njengoko imarike ihambela kwi-solar engaxhaswanga kwaye ikhuphisana nezinye iindlela zokuvelisa umbane.

EUnited States: Ufakelo kulindeleke ukuba lukhule nge-20% ngo-2022, luqinise i-United States njengendawo yesibini yentengiso enkulu kwihlabathi.ICalifornia, iTexas, iFlorida, iNorth Carolina neNew York ziya kuba zezona ziqhuba ukukhula kwemfuno yase-US kule minyaka mihlanu izayo.

IYurophu: Ukukhula kulindeleke ukuba kuqhubeke kwi-2022, yongeza ngaphezu kwe-24 GW, i-5% yonyuka ngaphezu kwe-2021. ISpain, iJamani, iNetherlands, iFransi, i-Italy kunye ne-Ukraine iya kuba yimithombo ephambili yemfuno, i-akhawunti ye-63% ye-EU iyonke. Ufakelo kunyaka ozayo.

I-Indiya: Emva kokungabikho kwe-2021 ngenxa yokungaqiniseki komgaqo-nkqubo kunye nefuthe leentlawulo zokungenisa kwiiseli zelanga kunye neemodyuli, umthamo ofakiweyo kulindeleke ukuba ukhule kwakhona kwaye udlule i-14 GW ngo-2022.