Umthamo wokufakwa kwamandla elanga kwihlabathi jikelele ubhaliswe ukuba ube yi-728 GW kwaye kuqikelelwa ukuba yi-1645 gigawatts (GW) ngo-2026 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ikhule kwi-CAGR ye-13. 78% ukusuka ku-2021 ukuya ku-2026. Ngobhubhani we-COVID-19 ngo-2020, imarike yamandla elanga yehlabathi ayizange ibone naziphi na iimpembelelo ezithe ngqo ezibalulekileyo.
Izinto ezinjengokwehla kwamaxabiso kunye neendleko zofakelo lwePV yelanga kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo efanelekileyo karhulumente kulindeleke ukuba iqhube imakethi yamandla elanga ngexesha lokuqikelela.Nangona kunjalo, ukunyuka okwamkelwayo kweminye imithombo enokuhlaziywa efana nomoya kulindeleke ukuba kuthintele ukukhula kwemarike.
-Icandelo le-solar photovoltaic (PV), ngenxa yesabelo salo sofakelo oluphezulu, kulindeleke ukuba lilawule imarike yamandla elanga ngexesha loqikelelo.
- Ukonyuka kokusetyenziswa kwe-solar ngaphandle kwegrid ngenxa yokuncipha kweendleko zezixhobo ze-solar PV kunye nenyathelo lehlabathi elixhasayo lokuphelisa ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni kulindeleke ukuba kudale amathuba amaninzi entengiso kwixa elizayo.
Ngenxa yokonyuka kofakelo lwelanga, ummandla we-Asia-Pacific uye walawula imakethi yamandla elanga kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ibe ngowona mmandla mkhulu kwaye ukhula ngokukhawuleza kwimakethi yamandla elanga ngexesha loqikelelo.
IiNdlela zeMarike eziphambili
I-Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Kulindeleke ukuba ibe yiCandelo leMakethi eNkulu
- ISolar photovoltaic (PV) kulindeleke ukuba inike ingxelo ngowona mthamo mkhulu wonyaka wokongezwa kwezinto ezihlaziyiweyo, ngaphezu komoya kunye namanzi, kwiminyaka emihlanu ezayo.Imakethi yelanga yePV yehlise iindleko ngokumangalisayo kule minyaka mithandathu idlulileyo ngoqoqosho lwesikali.Njengoko imarike yayizaliswe zizixhobo zokusebenza, amaxabiso ehla;iindleko zeepaneli zelanga ziye zehla ngokukhawuleza, okukhokelela ekunyuseni kokufakwa kwenkqubo ye-PV yelanga.
- Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, iinkqubo zePV ezisetyenziswayo ziye zalawula imarike yePV;nangona kunjalo, iinkqubo ze-PV ezisasazwayo, ubukhulu becala kumacandelo orhwebo kunye nezoshishino, ziye zayimfuneko kumazwe amaninzi ngenxa yoqoqosho lwazo olulungileyo;xa idityaniswe nokunyuka kokuzityela.Ukwehliswa kweendleko okuqhubekayo kweenkqubo ze-PV kuthanda ukunyuka kweemarike ze-off-grid, nazo, ziqhuba imakethi ye-solar PV.
- Ngapha koko, iinkqubo zePV zelanga ezibekwe phezulu zilindeleke ukuba zilawule intengiso kulo nyaka uqikelelwayo.Isixhobo somgangatho welanga esibekwe phantsi sibale malunga ne-64% yePV efakwe amandla elanga ngo-2019, ekhokelwa kakhulu yi-China neIndiya.Oku kuxhaswa yinto yokuba imiqulu emikhulu ye-solar-scale-scale ilula kakhulu ukuyihambisa kunokudala imarike yophahla lwePV esasaziweyo.
NgoJuni ka-2020, i-Adani Green Energy iphumelele elona bhidi likhulu kwihlabathi lofakelo lwelanga lwe-8 GW oluza kuhanjiswa ekupheleni kuka-2025. yeCO2 ukusuka kwimo engqongileyo kubomi bayo.Ngokusekelwe kwisivumelwano sembasa, i-8 GW yeeprojekthi zophuhliso lwelanga iza kuphunyezwa kule minyaka mihlanu izayo.I-2 GW yokuqala yomthamo wokuvelisa iya kuza kwi-intanethi ngo-2022, kwaye umthamo olandelayo we-GW we-6 uya kongezwa kwi-2 GW yokunyuswa konyaka ngo-2025.
- Ke ngoko, ngenxa yala manqaku angasentla, icandelo le-solar photovoltaic (PV) linokwenzeka ukuba lilawule imarike yamandla elanga ngexesha loqikelelo.
I-Asia-Pacific kulindeleke ukuba ilawule iMarike
-I-Asia-Pacific, kwiminyaka yakutshanje, ibiyeyona ntengiso iphambili yofakelo lwamandla elanga.Ngomthamo owongezelelweyo ofakelweyo ojikeleze i-78.01 GW ngo-2020, lo mmandla unesabelo semarike esimalunga ne-58% yomthamo wombane welanga ofakiweyo wehlabathi.
- Ixabiso leNqanaba laMandla (LCOE) yePV yelanga kwiminyaka elishumi edlulileyo iyancipha ngaphezu kwe-88%, ngenxa yokuba amazwe asakhasayo kummandla afana ne-Indonesia, iMalaysia, neVietnam abone ukwanda kokufakwa kwamandla elanga kumandla abo onke. xuba.
-I-China lelona galelo liphambili ekukhuleni kwemarike yamandla elanga kummandla we-Asia-Pacific nakwihlabathi jikelele.Emva kokuncipha kokongezwa komthamo ofakiweyo ngo-2019 ukuya kuthi ga kwi-30.05 GW kuphela, i-China yaphinda yachacha ngo-2020 kwaye yafaka igalelo kwisakhono esifakelweyo esimalunga ne-48.2 GW yamandla elanga.
NgoJanuwari 2020, inkampani yombane kaRhulumente yase-Indonesia, iyunithi ye-PLN ye-Pembangkitan Jawa Bali (PJB), ibhengeze izicwangciso zayo zokwakha i-USD 129 yezigidi ze-Cirata ezijikelezayo zombane welanga e-West Java ngo-2021, ngenkxaso evela ku-Abu Dhabi-based renewables. eqinile iMasdar.Iinkampani kulindeleke ukuba ziqalise ukuphuhliswa kwe-145-megawatt (MW) i-Cirata ejikelezayo ye-solar photovoltaic (PV) yamandla ombane ngoFebruwari 2020, xa i-PLN isayine isivumelwano sokuthengwa kwamandla (PPA) kunye neMasdar.Kwinqanaba laso lokuqala lophuhliso, umzi-mveliso weCirata kulindeleke ukuba ube nomthamo wama-50 MW.Ngaphaya koko, amandla kulindeleke ukuba anyuke aye kwi-145 MW ngo-2022.
- Ke ngoko, ngenxa yala manqaku angasentla, iAsia-Pacific kulindeleke ukuba ilawule imakethi yamandla elanga ngexesha loqikelelo.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jun-29-2021